Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 83.37%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 5.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.35%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
