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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park
BT

Newtown
3 - 3
Bala Town

Evans (53', 80'), Rushton (75')
Walker (33'), Jones (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Peate (51', 86'), Nalatche Mendes (58')
Southern (3'), Ramsey (54')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBala Town
40.65%24.41%34.94%
Both teams to score 59.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78%54.22%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.57%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 40.65%
    Bala Town 34.94%
    Draw 24.41%
Newtown AFCDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.94%

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