Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 80.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Druids had a probability of 6.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.05%) and 1-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
