Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.