Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Curran (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
55.68%	23.98%	20.34%

Both teams to score 49.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.73%

51.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.89%

73.1%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72%

18.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66%

49.34%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27%

39.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6%

76.4%

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.66%

Aberystwyth Town 20.34%

Draw 23.98%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.28% Total : 55.66%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.34%