Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
