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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
2 - 2
Haverfordwest

Jones (8'), Reed (43' pen.)
Kearney (28'), Bradford (30'), Williams (56')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Wilson (32'), Williams (45')
Wilson (27'), Tancock (27')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
48.08%23.02%28.91%
Both teams to score 61.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.98%39.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65%61.35%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47%16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72%46.29%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11%60.89%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 48.08%
    Haverfordwest County 28.91%
    Draw 23.02%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.91%

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