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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
May 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 4
Aberystwyth


Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
52.98%22.57%24.45%
Both teams to score 59.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37%40.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99%63.01%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62%15.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83%44.17%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9%66.1%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 52.98%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.45%
    Draw 22.56%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.66%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.45%

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