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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
5 - 1
Aberystwyth

Evans (7'), Hulbert (38', 82'), Lewis (52'), Warman (89')
Lewis (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fuller (86' og.)
Davies (26')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
49.78%24%26.22%
Both teams to score 56.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5%45.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17%67.83%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66%18.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55%49.45%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82%31.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49%67.51%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 49.78%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.22%
    Draw 24%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.22%

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