Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
