Newtown
1 - 5
Connah's Quay

Breese (3')
Mills-Evans (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Curran (20'), Danns (64'), Morris (76' pen.), Wilde (85'), Insall (90')
Wilde (55'), Morris (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
18.9%	21.61%	59.48%

Both teams to score 54.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7%

43.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31%

65.69%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34%

36.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55%

73.44%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82%

14.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.12%

41.88%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 18.9%

Connah's Quay Nomads 59.48%

Draw 21.61%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.22% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.9%	1-1 @ 10.19% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61%	0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 6.46% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.9% Total : 59.48%