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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Apr 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus
NL

Cardiff MU
2 - 2
Newtown

Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
34.92%27.01%38.06%
Both teams to score 50.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21%27.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63%63.36%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 34.91%
    Newtown AFC 38.05%
    Draw 27.01%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.05%

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