Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
