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Thursday, March 28
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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park
BT

Newtown
0 - 2
Bala Town


(47'), (53'), (63'), (89'), (90+1')
(90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Peate (45'), Venables (85')
Nalatche Mendes (39'), Venables (51'), Jones (63'), (69'), Kay (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBala Town
29.08%25.17%45.74%
Both teams to score 54.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31%48.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2%70.79%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31%30.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.94%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76%54.24%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 29.08%
    Bala Town 45.73%
    Draw 25.17%
Newtown AFCDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 7.82%
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.73%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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