Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.