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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 

Haverfordwest
0 - 4
Pen-y-Bont


Fawcett (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jefferies (26'), Dalton (41'), Griffiths (81', 88')
Davies (33'), Harling (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
34.13%25.43%40.43%
Both teams to score 55.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04%47.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87%70.13%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.33%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49%23.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46%57.54%
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 34.13%
    Pen-y-Bont 40.43%
    Draw 25.43%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.43%


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