Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Druids had a probability of 9.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
