Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.05%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
