Caernarfon
3 - 5
Newtown

Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
23.99%	22.81%	53.2%

Both teams to score 57.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.82%

42.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41%

64.59%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14%

15.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93%

45.07%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 23.99%

Newtown AFC 53.2%

Draw 22.8%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.18% 1-0 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.78% Total : 23.99%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.39% 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.2%