Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
