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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
3 - 1
Zurich

Nobbs (38'), Hurtig (45+1', 78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piubel (76')
Bernauer (36'), Riesen (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zurich 0-2 Juventus
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Zurich Women

After thrashing the European champions last week, we think that Arsenal will cruise to a sixth consecutive victory when they face Zurich on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
50.18% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)47.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.058 -0.06)69.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Zurich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.82% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.112 -0.11)69.39% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 50.17%
    Zurich Women 25.5%
    Draw 24.32%
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 1-5 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Reading Women 0-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax Vrouwen 0-1 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, September 28 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, September 24 at 1.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-2 Ajax Vrouwen
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Zurich 0-2 Juventus
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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