SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.45%) and 0-4 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
3.16% ( 0.05) | 9.21% ( 0.09) | 87.63% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 33.67% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.16) | 33.72% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.45% ( -0.18) | 55.54% ( 0.18) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.48% ( 0.17) | 64.52% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.2% ( 0.07) | 92.79% ( -0.08) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.89% ( -0.06) | 5.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.71% ( -0.16) | 20.29% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 1-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.16% | 1-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 9.21% | 0-2 @ 14.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 14.45% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 10.75% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 6.4% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.71% ( -0)0-6 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-7 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 87.62% |
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