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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
1 - 5
Arsenal Women

Malard (27')
Renard (44')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')
Mead (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Reading Women 0-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Lyon Women 3-1 Arsenal Women

Although they are without the services of a number of key players, Lyon usually perform well on home turf, and we think that they will begin the defence of their European crown with a victory over Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
49.39% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.42% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.97% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.64% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)52.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)13.12% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.77% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)21.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)54.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 49.39%
    Arsenal Women 29.19%
    Draw 21.42%
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Sunday, April 24 at 4pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-1 Juventus
Thursday, March 31 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, March 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, November 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Reading Women 0-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax Vrouwen 0-1 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, September 28 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, September 24 at 1.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-2 Ajax Vrouwen
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Brighton Women
Friday, September 16 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League


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