SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 84.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 4.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.02%) and 4-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 0-1 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
84.46% ( 1.35) | 10.6% ( -0.77) | 4.94% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.92% ( 1.25) | 30.08% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.71% ( 1.49) | 51.29% ( -1.5) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.96% ( 0.47) | 5.03% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.92% ( 1.39) | 20.08% ( -1.39) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.31% ( -1.03) | 53.69% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.91% ( -0.65) | 87.08% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.45)1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.42)5-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.17)6-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.13)7-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 84.45% | 1-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.54% Total : 10.6% | 0-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.69% Total : 4.94% |
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