Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
17.31% ( 0.3) | 21.4% ( -0.02) | 61.3% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.1% ( 0.59) | 44.9% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.74% ( 0.56) | 67.26% ( -0.56) |
Liverpool Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.58% ( 0.72) | 39.42% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.88% ( 0.66) | 76.12% ( -0.66) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.1) | 14.14% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.19% ( 0.2) | 41.81% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.31% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 61.29% |
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