SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Roma Women |
83.18% ( 4.37) | 11.49% ( -2.01) | 5.34% ( -2.36) |
| Both teams to score 42.9% ( -6.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.09% ( -0.25) | 32.9% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.39% ( -0.29) | 54.61% ( 0.29) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.21% ( 0.78) | 5.79% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.7% ( 2.17) | 22.29% ( -2.17) |
| Roma Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.53% ( -7.09) | 54.46% ( 7.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.44% ( -4.79) | 87.56% ( 4.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Roma Women |
| 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 1.27) 3-0 @ 12.15% ( 1.69)1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 8.66% ( 1.53)2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.84)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.93% ( 1.05)5-1 @ 3% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.58)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.68)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.39)6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.11)7-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.27)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.76% Total : 83.17% | 1-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.87) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.86)Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.49% | 0-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.71)Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.34% |
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