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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
 

Roma
0 - 1
Barcelona

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Slavia Prague 0-3 Roma
Thursday, December 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Roma Women 1-3 Barcelona Women

Roma have acquitted themselves well in their first Women's Champions League campaign, but we think that they may be given a reality check by a Barcelona side who have proven to be one of their most feared teams in Europe over the last few years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Roma Women win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona Women.

Result
Roma WomenDrawBarcelona Women
19.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 21.84% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 58.96% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.88% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)66.26% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)36.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)73.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.067000000000007 0.07)14.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (0.13 0.13)42.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 19.19%
    Barcelona Women 58.96%
    Draw 21.84%
Roma WomenDrawBarcelona Women
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 19.19%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.92% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.38% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.07% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slavia Prague 0-3 Roma
Thursday, December 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 5-0 St Polten
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-2 Roma
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: St Polten 3-4 Roma
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Slavia Prague
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 2-6 Barcelona
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 3-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, December 7 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 24 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Rosengard 1-4 Barcelona
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


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