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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 25, 2021 at 4pm UK
FC Bayern Campus

Bayern Munich
2 - 1
Chelsea Women

Lohmann (12'), Glas (56')
Zadrazil (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leupolz (23')
Mosegaard-Harder (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawChelsea Women
44.49%21.81%33.7%
Both teams to score 69.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.41%30.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.1%51.9%
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4%14.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.31%42.69%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95%19.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36%50.64%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 44.49%
    Chelsea Women 33.7%
    Draw 21.81%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 5.48%
1-0 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-3 @ 1.21%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 7.08%
0-0 @ 2.78%
3-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.62%
3-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 33.7%

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