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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
4 - 1
Bayern Munich

Kirby (11', 90+5'), So-yun (43'), Mosegaard-Harder (84')
Carter (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zadrazil (29')
Magull (42'), Simon (74'), Beerensteyn (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.65%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
41.32%21.43%37.24%
Both teams to score 71.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.21%27.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.52%48.48%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39%14.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3%42.7%
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 41.32%
    Bayern Munich Women 37.24%
    Draw 21.44%
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.65%
1-0 @ 4.55%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-3 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 7.25%
3-3 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 2.01%
3-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 37.24%

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