Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
