Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Paris Women
Paris may have already got the better of English opposition this season, but we think that they may find it tough going against a Chelsea side that are enjoying a fine run of form.
The Blues have won all four competitive home games this season, and we think that they will keep that impressive run going with another victory on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Paris Women had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Paris Women win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Paris Women |
51.92% ( -2.09) | 24.07% ( 0.31) | 24.01% ( 1.78) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 1.16) |
| 52.27% ( 0.49) | 47.72% ( -0.49) |
| 30.08% ( 0.45) | 69.91% ( -0.45) |
| 81.63% ( -0.6) | 18.36% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.51% ( -1.03) | 49.48% ( 1.03) |
| 65.79% ( 1.89) | 34.21% ( -1.89) |
