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Women's Super League | Gameweek 7
Nov 18, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
5 - 1
Liverpool Women

James (11', 56', 64'), Beever-Jones (24'), Nusken (78')
James (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carter (13' og.)
Bonner (41'), Holland (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Liverpool Women

Having lost just one of their six league games, Liverpool have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, and we expect Beard's troops to be involved in another close-fought contest on Saturday. However, we think that a Chelsea side stacked with world-class talent will have enough quality to edge out the Reds and claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
73.85% (1.352 1.35) 15.68% (-0.548 -0.55) 10.47% (-0.798 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.888 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (0.325 0.33)33.99% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.15% (0.36600000000001 0.37)55.85% (-0.36 -0.36)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.13% (0.369 0.37)7.87% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.13% (0.92 0.92)27.87% (-0.914 -0.91)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.56% (-1.197 -1.2)42.44% (1.202 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-1.043 -1.04)78.82% (1.048 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 73.85%
    Liverpool Women 10.47%
    Draw 15.68%
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.335 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.81% (0.312 0.31)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.96% (0.209 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.53% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.109 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 73.85%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.68%
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-6 Chelsea Women
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-2 Brighton Women
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 West Ham
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Everton Ladies
Sunday, October 15 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 8 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 0-1 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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