SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
9.77% ( -0.09) | 15.2% ( -0.04) | 75.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.11) | 33.81% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.35% ( -0.13) | 55.64% ( 0.13) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.25) | 43.63% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( -0.21) | 79.82% ( 0.2) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.41% ( -0.01) | 7.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.86% ( -0.01) | 27.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.77% | 1-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.03% Total : 15.2% | 0-2 @ 11% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 9.46% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 75.02% |
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