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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid
2 - 2
Chelsea Women

Carmona (10', 79' pen.)
Toletti (45'), Sousa (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charles (41'), Kerr (74')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Chelsea Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Valerenga 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
39.33% (0.35400000000001 0.35) 24.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.8% (-0.336 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.19 0.19)22.83% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (0.276 0.28)56.54% (-0.271 -0.27)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.175 -0.17)24.69% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.247 -0.25)59.23% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 39.33%
    Chelsea Women 35.8%
    Draw 24.87%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Valerenga 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 11 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Vllaznia
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, December 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, November 12 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-6 Chelsea Women
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-2 Brighton Women
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 West Ham
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League


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