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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean-Bouin

PSG
2 - 1
Real Madrid

De Almeida (15'), Diani (60' pen.)
Diani (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zornoza (81')
del Castillo (11'), Toletti (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 PSG
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, December 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-1 Real Madrid Femenino

The two sides played out a 1-1 draw when they met on matchday two, but PSG are in imperious form after winning their last six games in all competitions, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory over Real Madrid on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain Women.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
57.82% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 23.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 18.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.15% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)74.73% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)18.18% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)49.17% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)43.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.32% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 57.81%
    Real Madrid Femenino 18.36%
    Draw 23.81%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 57.81%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 PSG
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Vllaznia
Wednesday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 PSG
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Sunday, April 24 at 4pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, December 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 PSG
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, October 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-2 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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