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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Robert Bobin

Paris
2 - 1
Real Madrid

Dufour (4'), Thiney (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moller (53')
Andres (35'), Abilleira (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-1 Paris
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: BK Hacken 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Paris Women 2-2 Real Madrid Femenino

Although both sides will be desperate to claim maximum points, with the two sides struggling for consistency, we think that they could harm one another's qualification chances by playing out a draw in Thursday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Women win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Women in this match.

Result
Paris WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
38.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.89% (-0.204 -0.2) 38.01% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.91% (0.77699999999999 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (1.005 1.01)40.3% (-1.007 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (1.028 1.03)62.68% (-1.031 -1.03)
Paris Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.453 0.45)21.3% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.697 0.7)54.23% (-0.7 -0.7)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.53500000000001 0.54)21.34% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (0.819 0.82)54.3% (-0.822 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Paris Women 38.1%
    Real Madrid Femenino 38.01%
    Draw 23.88%
Paris WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 4-1 Paris
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Paris 1-2 BK Hacken
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-2 Paris
Wednesday, October 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Paris 3-3 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 10 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: BK Hacken 2-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-2 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 18 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 11 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Vllaznia
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League


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