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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ciudad Real Madrid

Real Madrid
5 - 1
Vllaznia

Weir (11'), Abilleira (18', 21' pen.), Camacho (78'), Duran (83')
Oroz (62')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Doci (5')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Real Madrid Femenino 4-0 Vllaznia Women

Although there is little to play for, we think that Real Madrid will remain professional to round off their Champions League campaign with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 84.14%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Vllaznia Women had a probability of 6.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.94%) and 4-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.92%), while for a Vllaznia Women win it was 1-2 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawVllaznia Women
84.14% (0.14400000000001 0.14) 9.75% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07) 6.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.94% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.74% (0.097999999999999 0.1)18.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.44% (0.143 0.14)35.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.94% (0.033999999999992 0.03)3.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.26% (0.11499999999999 0.11)13.75% (-0.112 -0.11)
Vllaznia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)39.2% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.09 -0.09)75.91% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Femenino 84.14%
    Vllaznia Women 6.11%
    Draw 9.75%
Real Madrid FemeninoDrawVllaznia Women
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 5.15% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 4.82% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
6-1 @ 2.8% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
7-0 @ 1.49% (0.019 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 84.14%
1-1 @ 3.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 9.75%
1-2 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 6.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, December 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 PSG
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, October 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-2 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 PSG
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Vllaznia
Wednesday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 8-0 Vllaznia
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, October 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-0 Ferencvaros (3-1 pen.)
Friday, August 20 at 7pm in Women's Champions League


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