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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Oct 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, October 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-1 Manchester United Women (PSG Women to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Man United will be desperate to reach the group stage in their first-ever Women's Champions League campaign, but we think that they could be edged out by a PSG side who have home advantage in their favour and can also draw upon a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain Women would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawManchester United Women
34.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 26.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 39.16% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.92% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.53% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.59% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.23%
    Manchester United Women 39.16%
    Draw 26.6%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, October 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, March 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 PSG
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 PSG
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, October 15 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, October 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, May 21 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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