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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
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Reading Women
1 - 3
Chelsea Women

Troelsgaard (70')
Hendrix (25'), Bryson (45+3'), Troelsgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (23'), Naevdal Mjelde (26' pen.), Reiten (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

The Blues claimed a narrow 3-2 victory when the two sides met in December, and although we expect Reading to be competitive once again, we think that Chelsea's quality will shine through in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-4 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Reading Women win it was 2-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
3.94% (0.072 0.07) 8.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 87.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.22% (0.096 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-0.137 -0.14)41.2% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (0.235 0.23)50.82% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (0.157 0.16)85.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.7% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)14.3% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.94%
    Chelsea Women 87.73%
    Draw 8.32%
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 3.94%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.32%
0-3 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 9.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 3.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-6 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-7 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 87.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Reading Women 2-1 West Ham
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-0 Reading Women
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Reading Women 0-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 3-2 Reading Women
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-2 Reading Women
Sunday, December 11 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 2-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 PSG
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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