SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
58.14% ( 3.97) | 22.56% ( -1.4) | 19.3% ( -2.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( 2.64) | 46.84% ( -2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( 2.42) | 69.1% ( -2.41) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 2.36) | 15.81% ( -2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.02% ( 4.19) | 44.98% ( -4.18) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( -1.13) | 38.29% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% ( -1.1) | 75.05% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.47)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.75)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.55)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.7)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.3% |
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