SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
22.92% ( 2.07) | 22.84% ( 0.09) | 54.24% ( -2.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( 2.09) | 43.49% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( 2.03) | 65.89% ( -2.02) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( 3.12) | 32.84% ( -3.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( 3.33) | 69.41% ( -3.32) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% | 15.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( -0) | 45.26% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.42)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.5)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.91)0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.84)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.53% Total : 54.24% |
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