SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 73.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.66%) and 0-3 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
9.83% ( -0.01) | 17.12% ( 0.03) | 73.04% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.03% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.15) | 43.02% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.15) | 65.42% ( 0.15) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.21% ( -0.11) | 49.78% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.49% ( -0.08) | 84.51% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( -0.04) | 10.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.25% ( -0.1) | 33.75% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.83% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 17.12% | 0-2 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 10.03% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.03% |
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