SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.98%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 4-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Reading Women |
86.98% ( 6.41) | 9.05% ( -3.68) | 3.96% ( -2.73) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( -3.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.14% ( 6.11) | 26.86% ( -6.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.69% ( 7.38) | 47.31% ( -7.38) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.93% ( 2.24) | 4.06% ( -2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.93% ( 6.65) | 17.07% ( -6.65) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.01% ( -4.74) | 54.99% ( 4.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.12% ( -3.04) | 87.87% ( 3.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 3-0 @ 12.23% ( 1.08) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.64)4-0 @ 9.8% ( 2.1)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.35)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -1.6)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -1.47)5-0 @ 6.28% ( 2.02)4-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.56)5-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.83)6-0 @ 3.35% ( 1.39)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.45)6-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.66)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.76)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)7-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.38)Other @ 3.38% Total : 86.96% | 1-1 @ 4.28% ( -1.74) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.93)2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.82)Other @ 0.49% Total : 9.05% | 0-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.84) 1-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.79)Other @ 1.35% Total : 3.96% |
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