Women's Super League | Gameweek 14

May 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Aston Villa Women.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 88.83%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 3.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
88.83%	7.69%	3.48%

Both teams to score 46.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.6%

21.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.9%

40.1%

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.05%

2.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.65%

13.35%

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.8%

52.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.86%

86.13%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 88.83%

Aston Villa Women 3.48%

Draw 7.69%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
3-0 @ 11.25% 4-0 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.58% 3-1 @ 7.32% 5-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 6.45% 2-1 @ 6.23% 1-0 @ 5.43% 5-1 @ 4.55% 6-0 @ 4.12% 6-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 2.1% 7-0 @ 2.08% 5-2 @ 1.48% 7-1 @ 1.35% 8-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 4% Total : 88.83%	1-1 @ 3.53% 2-2 @ 2.02% 0-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.6% Total : 7.69%	1-2 @ 1.15% 0-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.33% Total : 3.48%