After suffering a dispiriting defeat last weekend, the last opponent that Leicester would have wanted to face in their next fixture was another title challenger, and with the Gunners motivated to keep pace with Chelsea, we think that they will ease past the Foxes on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 84.31%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 0-4 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
