Although Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last three matches, we think that they will be unable to trouble the Gunners on Sunday, with Arsenal determined to keep pace with Chelsea at the top of the WSL table.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 1-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
