Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
