SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
14.84% ( 1.66) | 17.9% ( 1.29) | 67.27% ( -2.95) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( -2.46) | 33.34% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( -2.87) | 55.11% ( 2.86) |
| Crystal Palace Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( 0.6) | 35.31% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% ( 0.62) | 72.07% ( -0.62) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.85% ( -1.27) | 9.14% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.98% ( -3.14) | 31.02% ( 3.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.84% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.9% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.37)1-4 @ 4.59% ( -0.45)0-4 @ 4.41% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 2.19% ( -0.37)0-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.39)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.17)Other @ 4.84% Total : 67.27% |
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