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Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Nov 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Liverpool

Nunes da Silva (49')
Taylor (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hinds (26', 43')
Matthews (37'), Parry (88'), Laws (90+4'), Holland (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 20 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-2 Liverpool Women

Liverpool have won five of their last seven away matches in the WSL, and after winning their previous two matches against Villa, we think that the Reds will squeeze past their opponents to record a third consecutive head-to-head victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
39.24% (-1.187 -1.19) 24.31% (0.029 0.03) 36.45% (1.158 1.16)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)42.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.81% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.56800000000001 -0.57)21.66% (0.57 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.876 -0.88)54.79% (0.877 0.88)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.626 0.63)23.08% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (0.91 0.91)56.92% (-0.908 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 39.24%
    Liverpool Women 36.45%
    Draw 24.3%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.24%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.141 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 20 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Aston Villa
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 13 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Liverpool
Sunday, October 6 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Leicester
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester 0-4 Liverpool
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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