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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Hemp (62'), Roord (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nunes da Silva (20')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Polten 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-0 Aston Villa Women

Man City have been in imperious form in the opening stages of the 2024-25 season, and we think that they will showcase their quality again to sweep past Aston Villa to collect three points which would see them enter the international break as league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
66.17% (-0.36699999999999 -0.37) 18.34% (0.16 0.16) 15.5% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.331 -0.33)34.06% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.07% (-0.375 -0.38)55.93% (0.38 0.38)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)9.59% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.92% (-0.414 -0.41)32.08% (0.419 0.42)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.052000000000007 0.05)34.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.050999999999998 0.05)71.69% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 66.17%
    Aston Villa Women 15.5%
    Draw 18.34%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 66.17%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 15.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Polten 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 13 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brighton
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Paris
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Leicester
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Aston Villa
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League


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