SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
65.14% ( -0.03) | 18.2% ( 0.02) | 16.65% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.06) | 30.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.67% ( -0.07) | 52.33% ( 0.07) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( -0.03) | 8.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.38% ( -0.06) | 30.62% ( 0.05) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.03) | 31.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( -0.04) | 68.01% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 65.14% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.12% Total : 16.65% |
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